8 Nov · 13:05 MEZLow · Slight Edge
RF
🇨🇿Radek Fnukal
ELO 1527
FormWLWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Neterda
RN
🇨🇿Radek Neterda
ELO 1570
FormLWLLL
46%
54%
🌟Fnukal goes over total as underdog 70% (20)
Fair odds · Neterda
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+43
H2H2-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.