8 Nov · 12:15 MEZMedium · Model Lean
JS
🇨🇿Jan Skvrna
ELO 1650
FormWLWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Skvrna
TG
🇨🇿Tomas Grmela
ELO 1565
FormWWLLW
57%
43%
🌟Skvrna rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (203)
Fair odds · Skvrna
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+85
H2H6-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+85)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-2)