8 Nov · 12:10 MEZLow · Slight Edge
JK
🇨🇿Jan Krupnik
ELO 1531
FormLLWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Precek
EP
🇨🇿Erik Precek
ELO 1571
FormWWLWW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Precek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+40
H2H19-25
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.