8 Nov · 13:10 MEZLow · Slight Edge
LD
🇨🇿Lukas Dzida
ELO 1504
FormLWLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Krupnik
JK
🇨🇿Jan Krupnik
ELO 1531
FormLLWWL
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Dzida🌟Krupnik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (190)
Fair odds · Krupnik
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+27
H2H1-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.