8 Nov · 16:55 MEZMedium · Model Lean
JK
🇨🇿Jonas Kulveit
ELO 1542
FormWLWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Kulveit
ZZ
🇨🇿Zdenek Zahradka
ELO 1459
FormLWWWL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Kulveit
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+83
H2H9-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+83)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-8)