8 Nov · 15:40 MEZLow · Coin Flip
JS
🇨🇿Jiri Skalicky
ELO 1560
FormWLWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Skalicky
DV
🇨🇿Daniel Vitasek
ELO 1551
FormLWWLW
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vitasek🌟Skalicky rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (56)
Fair odds · Skalicky
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+9
H2H13-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.