8 Nov · 19:40 MEZMedium · Model Lean
IJ
🇨🇿Ivan Jemelka
ELO 1506
FormLWWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Jemelka
JO
🇨🇿Jan Oleksik
ELO 1436
FormWWWLL
56%
44%
🌟Oleksik covers set handicap as underdog 65% (26)
Fair odds · Jemelka
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+70
H2H1-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+70)