8 Nov · 16:20 MEZElite · Strong Favorite
PV
🇨🇿Petr Vodal
ELO 1390
FormLLLLW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Dohnal
JD
🇨🇿Jaroslav Dohnal
ELO 1580
FormWWLLL
35%
65%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vodal🌟Dohnal rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (211)
Fair odds · Dohnal
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~76 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
18%
3-2
14%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+190
H2H64-54
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+190)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (64-54)