8 Nov · 16:50 MEZMedium · Model Lean
JC
🇨🇿Jean-Baptiste Cousin
ELO 1481
FormLLWLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Holik
SH
🇨🇿Simon Holik
ELO 1550
FormWWLWW
44%
56%
🔥 Underdog lean · Cousin🌟Holik goes over total as favourite 66% (56)
Fair odds · Holik
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~80 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+69
H2H5-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+69)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-4)