8 Nov · 12:50 MEZMedium · Model Lean
OS
🇨🇿Ondrej Sebek
ELO 1388
FormWWLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Sebek
JB
🇨🇿Jaroslav Brynych
ELO 1322
FormLWLLL
55%
45%
Fair odds · Sebek
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 48% · 2.09· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+66
H2H3-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+66)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)