8 Nov · 15:45 MEZLow · Coin Flip
TM
🇨🇿Tomas Molin
ELO 1553
FormLLLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Jr
DJ
🇨🇿Dalibor Velky Jr
ELO 1564
FormWWLWL
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Molin🌟Jr rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (164)
Fair odds · Jr
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+11
H2H2-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.