8 Nov · 17:25 MEZMedium · Model Lean
JM
🇨🇿Jiri Melichar
ELO 1554
FormWLLWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Melichar
DP
🇨🇿Dominik Pasek
ELO 1444
FormWLWWW
59%
41%
🔥 Underdog lean · Pasek🌟Pasek goes over total as underdog 71% (24)
Fair odds · Melichar
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+110
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+110)