8 Nov · 17:50 MEZMedium · Model Lean
JD
🇨🇿Jaroslav Dohnal
ELO 1580
FormWWLLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Dohnal
JC
🇨🇿Jean-Baptiste Cousin
ELO 1481
FormLLWLW
58%
42%
🔥 Underdog lean · Cousin🌟Dohnal rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (211)
Fair odds · Dohnal
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+99
H2H47-28
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+99)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (47-28)