8 Nov · 18:20 MEZMedium · Model Lean
PV
🇨🇿Petr Vodal
ELO 1390
FormLLLLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Cousin
JC
🇨🇿Jean-Baptiste Cousin
ELO 1481
FormLLWLW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Cousin
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+91
H2H45-34
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+91)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (45-34)