8 Nov · 17:55 MEZMedium · Model Lean
JK
🇨🇿Jonas Kulveit
ELO 1542
FormWLWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Kulveit
DP
🇨🇿Dominik Pasek
ELO 1444
FormWLWWW
58%
42%
🌟Pasek goes over total as underdog 71% (24)
Fair odds · Kulveit
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+98
H2H17-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+98)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-7)