8 Nov · 17:35 MEZMedium · Model Lean
MM
🇨🇿Martin Mastera
ELO 1594
FormLLWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Lengal
DL
🇨🇿Dominik Lengal
ELO 1676
FormLLLWW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Lengal
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+82
H2H31-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+82)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (31-9)