8 Nov · 16:10 MEZLow · Slight Edge
LD
🇨🇿Lukas Dzida
ELO 1504
FormLWLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Dzida
AK
🇨🇿Adam Kanak
ELO 1477
FormWLWLL
52%
48%
🌟Kanak covers set handicap as underdog 70% (109)
Fair odds · Dzida
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+27
H2H3-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.