8 Nov · 17:45 MEZMedium · Model Lean
TM
🇨🇿Tomas Molin
ELO 1553
FormLLLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Skulina
DS
🇨🇿David Skulina
ELO 1620
FormLWWWW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Skulina
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+67
H2H1-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+67)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)