8 Nov · 18:15 MEZLow · Slight Edge
AC
🇨🇿Ales Cizek
ELO 1599
FormLWWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Cizek
DJ
🇨🇿Dalibor Velky Jr
ELO 1564
FormWWLWL
53%
47%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jr🌟Cizek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (97)
Fair odds · Cizek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+35
H2H13-22
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.