8 Nov · 17:15 MEZMedium · Model Lean
DJ
🇨🇿Dalibor Velky Jr
ELO 1564
FormWWLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Skulina
DS
🇨🇿David Skulina
ELO 1620
FormLWWWW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Skulina
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+56
H2H3-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+56)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-2)