8 Nov · 19:25 MEZLow · Coin Flip
DP
🇨🇿Dominik Pasek
ELO 1444
FormWLWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Zahradka
ZZ
🇨🇿Zdenek Zahradka
ELO 1459
FormLWWWL
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Pasek🌟Pasek goes over total as underdog 71% (24)
Fair odds · Zahradka
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+15
H2H4-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.