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08 Nov · 14:05 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
KZKrzysztof Zapala
🇨🇿Krzysztof Zapala
ELO 1559
3-2Final setsZapala won
MSMateusz Szymanski
🇨🇿Mateusz Szymanski
ELO 1627
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Szymanski at 57%. The actual result was Krzysztof Zapala 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mateusz Szymanski favoured — closing 1.6
Upset
Total 77.5
96 points played
Over
Set handicap
Mateusz Szymanski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Mateusz Szymanski −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.1
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Krzysztof Zapala is favoured to win, below means Mateusz Szymanski.

▲ Krzysztof Zapalapre 46% → final 89%
Mateusz Szymanski ▼
Biggest swing 61 ptsZapala recovered from 34%72 points · 5 games