8 Nov · 16:50 MEZMedium · Model Lean
JC
🇨🇿Jean-Baptiste Cousin
ELO 1481
FormLLWLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Cousin
TR
🇨🇿Tomas Rein
ELO 1404
FormWLWWW
56%
44%
Fair odds · Cousin
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+77
H2H38-19
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+77)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (38-19)