9 Nov · 08:15 MEZLow · Slight Edge
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Kindl
ELO 1440
FormWLLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Raska
MR
🇨🇿Michal Raska
ELO 1468
FormLLWLL
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kindl🌟Kindl goes over total as underdog 67% (110)
Fair odds · Raska
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+28
H2H11-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.