9 Nov · 14:50 MEZLow · Slight Edge
JV
🇨🇿Jan Vonasek
ELO 1523
FormLLLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Vonasek
OF
🇨🇿Ondrej Fiklik
ELO 1486
FormLLLLL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Vonasek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+37
H2H60-74
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.