9 Nov · 13:45 MEZLow · Slight Edge
LD
🇨🇿Lukas Dzida
ELO 1498
FormLLWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Krupnik
JK
🇨🇿Jan Krupnik
ELO 1535
FormWLLWL
47%
53%
🌟Krupnik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (194)
Fair odds · Krupnik
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+37
H2H2-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.