9 Nov · 11:40 MEZLow · Slight Edge
LS
🇨🇿Lukas Slavik
ELO 1573
FormLWWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Slavik
RB
🇨🇿Radek Benes
ELO 1542
FormWLLLL
53%
47%
🔥 Underdog lean · Benes🌟Slavik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (102)
Fair odds · Slavik
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+31
H2H6-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.