9 Nov · 12:10 MEZLow · Slight Edge
AV
🇨🇿Anton Veliiev
ELO 1624
FormWLWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Veliiev
MM
🇨🇿Michal Moravec
ELO 1596
FormLLLWW
52%
48%
🌟Moravec covers set handicap as underdog 63% (59)
Fair odds · Veliiev
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+28
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.