9 Nov · 07:45 MEZLow · Slight Edge
JK
🇨🇿Jan Krupnik
ELO 1535
FormWLLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Krupnik
LL
🇨🇿Laurent Lasota
ELO 1496
FormWWLLL
53%
47%
🔥 Underdog lean · Lasota🌟Krupnik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (194)
Fair odds · Krupnik
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+39
H2H3-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.