9 Nov · 13:55 MEZLow · Coin Flip
DV
🇨🇿David Vesecky
ELO 1707
FormLLWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Cerny
MC
🇨🇿Martin Cerny
ELO 1716
FormWLWLW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Cerny
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+9
H2H90-79
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.