9 Nov · 08:55 MEZMedium · Model Lean
JK
🇨🇿Jan Kocab
ELO 1652
FormLLLLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Nadvornik
VN
🇨🇿Vaclav Nadvornik
ELO 1759
FormWLWWW
41%
59%
Fair odds · Nadvornik
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~74 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+107
H2H20-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+107)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (20-14)