9 Nov · 09:55 MEZMedium · Model Lean
JK
🇨🇿Jan Kocab
ELO 1652
FormLLLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Cerny
MC
🇨🇿Martin Cerny
ELO 1716
FormWLWLW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Cerny
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+64
H2H31-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+64)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (31-13)