9 Nov · 11:45 MEZMedium · Model Lean
LD
🇨🇿Lukas Dzida
ELO 1498
FormLLWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Dzida
LK
🇨🇿Lukas Kantor
ELO 1430
FormWLWLL
56%
44%
Fair odds · Dzida
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+68
H2H5-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+68)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-2)