9 Nov · 09:25 MEZMedium · Model Lean
DB
🇨🇿David Bochnak
ELO 1806
FormLWWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Bochnak
MC
🇨🇿Martin Cerny
ELO 1716
FormWLWLW
57%
43%
🌟Bochnak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (120)
Fair odds · Bochnak
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+90
H2H80-66
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+90)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (80-66)