9 Nov · 12:20 MEZLow · Coin Flip
VJ
🇨🇿Vaclav Hejda Jr
ELO 1481
FormLLWWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Fiklik
OF
🇨🇿Ondrej Fiklik
ELO 1486
FormLLLLL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Fiklik🌟Jr covers set handicap as underdog 71% (206)
Fair odds · Fiklik
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+5
H2H42-19
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.