9 Nov · 14:20 MEZMedium · Model Lean
VJ
🇨🇿Vaclav Hejda Jr
ELO 1481
FormLLWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Sochor
DS
🇨🇿David Sochor
ELO 1544
FormWLLWW
45%
55%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jr🌟Jr covers set handicap as underdog 71% (206)
Fair odds · Sochor
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+63
H2H12-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+63)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-9)