9 Nov · 10:15 MEZLow · Slight Edge
MR
🇨🇿Michal Raska
ELO 1468
FormLLWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Lasota
LL
🇨🇿Laurent Lasota
ELO 1496
FormWWLLL
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Raska🌟Raska covers set handicap as underdog 63% (103)
Fair odds · Lasota
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+28
H2H5-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.