9 Nov · 14:15 MEZLow · Coin Flip
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Kindl
ELO 1440
FormWLLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kindl
LK
🇨🇿Lukas Kantor
ELO 1430
FormWLWLL
51%
49%
🌟Kindl goes over total as favourite 70% (99)
Fair odds · Kindl
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+10
H2H6-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.