9 Nov · 00:05 MEZMedium · Model Lean
PG
🇨🇿Pawel Gola
ELO 1570
FormWLWLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Gola
SW
🇨🇿Sylwester Wloszek
ELO 1487
FormLLLWL
57%
43%
🌟Gola goes over total as favourite 68% (19)
Fair odds · Gola
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 64% · 1.57· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~81 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+83
H2H102-56
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+83)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (102-56)