9 Nov · 08:45 MEZMedium · Model Lean
JK
🇨🇿Jan Krupnik
ELO 1535
FormWLLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Krupnik
MR
🇨🇿Michal Raska
ELO 1468
FormLLWLL
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Raska🌟Krupnik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (194)
Fair odds · Krupnik
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+67
H2H12-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+67)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-6)