9 Nov · 13:10 MEZMedium · Model Lean
RB
🇨🇿Radek Benes
ELO 1542
FormWLLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Veliiev
AV
🇨🇿Anton Veliiev
ELO 1624
FormWLWLW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Veliiev
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+82
H2H2-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+82)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)