9 Nov · 12:40 MEZLow · Slight Edge
LS
🇨🇿Lukas Slavik
ELO 1573
FormLWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Moravec
MM
🇨🇿Michal Moravec
ELO 1596
FormLLLWW
48%
52%
🌟Slavik covers set handicap as underdog 65% (72)
Fair odds · Moravec
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 42% · 2.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+23
H2H3-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.