9 Nov · 13:15 MEZMedium · Model Lean
LK
🇨🇿Lukas Kantor
ELO 1430
FormWLWLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Krupnik
JK
🇨🇿Jan Krupnik
ELO 1535
FormWLLWL
41%
59%
🌟Krupnik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (194)
Fair odds · Krupnik
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+105
H2H15-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+105)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-7)