9 Nov · 08:40 MEZMedium · Model Lean
AV
🇨🇿Anton Veliiev
ELO 1624
FormWLWLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Veliiev
RB
🇨🇿Radek Benes
ELO 1542
FormWLLLL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Veliiev
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 49% · 2.03· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+82
H2H2-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+82)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)