9 Nov · 13:25 MEZMedium · Model Lean
DB
🇨🇿David Bochnak
ELO 1798
FormLLWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Bochnak
MC
🇨🇿Martin Cerny
ELO 1723
FormWWLWL
56%
44%
🌟Bochnak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (120)
Fair odds · Bochnak
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+75
H2H80-67
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+75)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (80-67)