9 Nov · 12:15 MEZMedium · Model Lean
JK
🇨🇿Jan Krupnik
ELO 1535
FormWLLWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Krupnik
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Kindl
ELO 1440
FormWLLLL
58%
42%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kindl🌟Kindl goes over total as underdog 67% (110)
Fair odds · Krupnik
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+95
H2H21-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+95)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (21-12)