9 Nov · 20:40 MEZMedium · Model Lean
TO
🇨🇿Tomas Ogrocki
ELO 1508
FormLWLWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Ogrocki
JV
🇨🇿Jiri Vanous
ELO 1435
FormWWLLL
56%
44%
Fair odds · Ogrocki
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 62% · 1.62· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+73
H2H26-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+73)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (26-10)