9 Nov · 16:05 MEZLow · Slight Edge
T2
🇨🇿Tomas Beran 2000
ELO 1556
FormWWLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.922000
DH
🇨🇿David Hons
ELO 1532
FormWLWLW
52%
48%
Fair odds · 2000
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 45% · 2.24· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+24
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.