9 Nov · 15:45 MEZLow · Slight Edge
DS
🇨🇿David Sarganek
ELO 1686
FormWLLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Sarganek
FS
🇨🇿Filip Sikora
ELO 1636
FormLWLLL
54%
46%
🌟Sarganek stays under total as favourite 68% (149)
Fair odds · Sarganek
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 50% · 2.02· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+50
H2H32-32
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.