9 Nov · 16:45 MEZMedium · Model Lean
DS
🇨🇿David Sarganek
ELO 1686
FormWLLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Sarganek
PV
🇨🇿Petr Vicherek
ELO 1608
FormWWLWW
56%
44%
🌟Sarganek stays under total as favourite 68% (149)
Fair odds · Sarganek
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 61% · 1.64· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+78
H2H44-29
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+78)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (44-29)